For a full list of my scholarship and experience, please take a look at my complete cv.
Posey, Patricia, and Gillion, Daniel. Forthcoming. "Minority Protest and the Early Stages of Governmental Responsiveness in the Electoral Process" in Anxieties of Democracy. Cambridge University Press.
Does minority political protest lead to governmental responsiveness? Although minority protest has played a large role in conveying minority grievances to government since the civil rights era, little is known of how marginalized voices navigate a majoritarian political system to influence the behavior of political officials. Using protest data that spans across several decades into a post-civil rights era, we show that minority protests have a large effect on the early stages of governmental responsiveness, but the influence of minority protest actions are heavily linked to the party system. Placing protests on an ideological scale, we find that protests that express liberal issues increases vote share for Democratic candidates, while protests that espouse conservative issues offer Republican candidates a greater share of the two-party vote. However, minority protests, which often express liberal concerns, uniquely lead to a greater percentage of the two-party vote share for Democratic candidates. In addition, this study shows that minority protest produces a “vulnerability effect,” in that it underscores an incumbent politician’s failure to address constituent concerns, which leads quality candidates to enter subsequent races to challenge incumbents.
sELECTED Articles in progress
“From Paycheck to Paycheck: State Regulations and the Use of Alternative Financial Services”
I compiled an original dataset of fringe economy locations by scrapping data from the Yellow Pages. Using this data, I outline the characteristics of the fringe economy and illustrates that the fringe economy is predominately located in neighborhoods that are disproportionately nonwhite and disproportionately low-income. Analyses using the 2016 Collaborative Multiracial Post-Election Survey show that individuals in states with strong regulations are less likely to use the fringe economy, though minorities and low-income individuals still use fringe economy services more.
"Turning Out to Vote: The Politics of Polling Places and Increased Costs for Minority Voters"
Uses observational data to examine the effects county financial resources have on Election Day failures. Using the number of polling places as proxy, this research finds that counties with less money for election administration tasks experience more Election Day failures. This disproportionately affects low-income whites and minorities on average. This paper illustrates the consequences of scarce election administration resources and the subsequent undue burden on some voters.
"The Lingering History of Race in Racial Attitudes and Presidential Approval"
Uses evidence from an original nationally representative survey experiment to examine how President Obama’s behavior, specifically his proposal of an economic initiative for racial minorities, affects his approval rating. I find that being primed with fictional examples of President Obama discussing race is statistically related to approval rating. Among black respondents, the treatment produces an increase in presidential approval, even accounting for prior levels of approval. Among respondents in the treatment, they were more likely to cite racial reasons for their evaluation of the president. This research suggests that racial attitudes have a persistent impact on citizens’ evaluations of elected officials’ behavior.
Alvarez, Linda, Posey, Patricia, & Silva, Andrea et al. “The One They've Been Waiting for: White Fear and the Rise of Donald Trump” The Journal of Race, Ethnicity and Politics -- Politics of Color. November 27, 2016.
Liu, Sara, Posey, Patricia, & Reuning, Kevin. “Who were the protesters at the Democratic National Convention this week?” The Washington Post -- Monkey Cage. July 29, 2016.
Liu, Sara, Posey, Patricia, & Reuning, Kevin. “Three surprising facts about the protesters at the Republican National Convention” The Washington Post -- Monkey Cage. July 24, 2016. Project covered in The Chronicle of Higher Education and USA Today